Agent skill · product strategy · refoundai

evaluating-startup-ideas

Help users distinguish between deceptive tarpit ideas and high-potential opportunities by applying rigorous frameworks for market timing, business math, and user demand.

Why this skill is useful

Provides frameworks and methodologies for evaluating startup ideas that the AI wouldn't reliably generate on its own.

What it needs

About 4k tokens when loaded. Last updated 2026-07-16. 1,223 stars on the source repository.

What this skill does

Evaluating Startup Ideas Systematically validate problem-solution fit, market timing, and business viability before you build. Help the user with evaluating startup ideas using insights from 21 guests and posts across Lenny's Podcast and Newsletter. How to Help 1. Assess Problem Urgency - Determine if you are solving a hair-on-fire problem or an incremental convenience. 2. Analyze Market Timing - Evaluate if there is a clear why now inflection point in technology, regulation, or behavior. 3. Review Business Viability - Scrutinize the underlying math to ensure a path to $100M in annual revenue. 4. Validate via Experiments - Guide the transition from brainstorming to manual testing before committing to code. Core Principles Seek unglamorous niches Andrew Wilkinson: "I think that's probably the most important thing in business is actually to find those niches where you can actually make real money because competition equals lower margin. The more competitors there are, the lower your prices have to be and the more competitive the business is ultimately." Identify uncrowded industries like pest control or government software where lack of competition allows for higher margins and easier growth. Prioritize autonomous outcomes Bret Taylor: "First is, I think as you have these new technologies, rather than literally digitizing what came before, if you can create an entirely new experience, it answers the question for a new customer, why should I give this the time of day? And so, really disassembling the Lego set and reassembling into something new rather than just digitizing what was there before." In the age of AI, the best opportunities lie in delivering autonomous results rather than just building productivity tools that require manual effort. Wait for external turning points Mike Maples Jr: "The three are inflections, insights and then the founder future fit. Business is never a fair fight. …

How to use it

Reference it in AdaL, Claude Code, Cursor or any coding agent — nothing to install:

@skills refoundai/evaluating-startup-ideas

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