Agent skill · data analytics · aradotso
trump-code-market-signals
AI-powered analysis of Trump's social media posts to predict stock market movements using 31.5M brute-force tested rules
Why this skill is useful
Adds executable scripts for real-time monitoring and brute-force model searching that significantly extend predictive capabilities based on Trump's social media activity.
What it needs
Requires git, python installed locally. Requires anthropic, gemini, polymarket account access. About 5k tokens when loaded. Last updated 2026-07-09. 70 stars on the source repository.
What this skill does
Trump Code — Market Signal Analysis Skill by ara.so — Daily 2026 Skills collection. Trump Code is an open-source system that applies brute-force computation to find statistically significant patterns between Trump's Truth Social/X posting behavior and S&P 500 movements. It has tested 31.5M model combinations, maintains 551 surviving rules, and has a verified 61.3% hit rate across 566 predictions (z=5.39, p<0.05). Installation Environment Variables CLI — Key Commands Core Scripts REST API (Live at trumpcode.washinmura.jp) AI Chatbot API MCP Server (Claude Code / Cursor Integration) Add to ~/.claude/settings.json: Available MCP tools: signals, models, predict, arbitrage, health, events, dualplatform, crowd, fullreport Open Data Files All data lives in data/ and is updated daily: Download Data via API Real Code Examples Parse Today's Signals Find Top Performing Rules from Surviving Rules Check Prediction Market Opportunities Correlate Post Features with Returns Run a Backtest on a Custom Signal Key Signal Types Signal Description Typical Impact -------- ------------- ---------------- RELIEF pre-market "Relief" language before 9:30 AM Avg +1.12% same-day TARIFF market hours Tariff mention during trading Avg -0.758% next day DEAL Deal/agreement language 52.2% hit rate CHINA (Truth Social only) China mentions (never on X) 1.5× weight boost SILENCE Zero-post day 80% bullish, avg +0.409% Burst → silence Rapid posting then goes quiet 65.3% LONG signal Model Reference Model Strategy Hit Rate Avg Return ------- ---------- ---------- ------------ A3 Pre-market RELIEF → surge 72.7% +1.206% D3 Volume spike → panic bottom 70.2% +0.306% D2 Signature switch → formal statement 70.0% +0.472% C1 Burst → long silence → LONG 65.3% +0.145% C3 ⚠️ Late-night tariff (anti-indicator) 37.5% −0.414% Note: C3 is an anti-indicator — if it fires, the circuit breaker auto-inverts it to LONG (62% accuracy after inversion). …
How to use it
Reference it in AdaL, Claude Code, Cursor or any coding agent — nothing to install:
@skills aradotso/trump-code-market-signals