Agent skill · product strategy · alirezarezvani
scenario-war-room
Use for compound what-if questions ('what if X and Y both happen?') with major downside across functions. Models cascading scenarios with scenario_modeler.py.
Why this skill is useful
Provides a structured approach to modeling complex risk scenarios that the AI wouldn't reliably generate on its own.
What it needs
Requires python installed locally. About 5k tokens when loaded. Last updated 2026-08-05. 23,939 stars on the source repository.
What this skill does
Scenario War Room Model cascading what-if scenarios across all business functions. Not single-assumption stress tests — compound adversity that shows how one problem creates the next. Keywords scenario planning, war room, what-if analysis, risk modeling, cascading effects, compound risk, adversity planning, contingency planning, stress test, crisis planning, multi-variable scenario, pre-mortem Quick Start Or describe the scenario in natural language: "What if we lose our top customer AND miss the Q3 fundraise?" "What if 3 engineers quit AND we need to ship by Q3?" "What if our market shrinks 30% AND a competitor raises $50M?" What This Is Not Not a single-assumption stress test (that's /executive-mentor:stress-test) Not financial modeling only — every function gets modeled Not worst-case-only — models 3 severity levels Not paralysis by analysis — outputs concrete hedges and triggers Framework: 6-Step Cascade Model Step 1: Define Scenario Variables (max 3) State each variable with: What changes — specific, quantified if possible Probability — your best estimate Timeline — when it hits Step 2: Domain Impact Mapping For each variable, each relevant role models impact: Domain Owner Models -------- ------- -------- Cash & runway CFO Burn impact, runway change, bridge options Revenue CRO ARR gap, churn cascade risk, pipeline Product CPO Roadmap impact, PMF risk Engineering CTO Velocity impact, key person risk People CHRO Attrition cascade, hiring freeze implications Operations COO Capacity, OKR impact, process risk Security CISO Compliance timeline risk Market CMO CAC impact, competitive exposure Step 3: Cascade Effect Mapping This is the core. Show how Variable A triggers consequences in domains that trigger Variable B's effects: Name the cascade explicitly. Show where it can be interrupted. …
How to use it
Reference it in AdaL, Claude Code, Cursor or any coding agent — nothing to install:
@skills alirezarezvani/scenario-war-room--52935e